Archive for the 'Market Trends' Category

Solving the foreclosure crisis. Any ideas?

Monday, June 16th, 2008

I’ve been thinking lately. Maybe not always a good sign, but I’ve come up with some harebrained incredible ideas for solving or at least mitigating the foreclosure crisis in this country.

1. Have lenders agree to work with buyers who are behind on payments but are trying to still live in the home i.e. not flippers etc who put zero down and can just walk away. Work with them how? Cancel fees for a set period of time as they try to catch up on payments. Allow them to refinance to fixed rates with low or no closing costs. Offer interest only payments for a small period of time like 3 or 6 months and then go back to normal payments.

2. Offer subsidies/tax breaks to towns or commercial/philanthropic organizations to buy up property in low income areas, especially the hardest hit urban areas like Dorchester, some parts of JP, Haverhill, Lowell, etc., and work with residents who want to own a home but cannot afford more of a monthly payment that what their rent currently is. This would provide jobs to many - rehabbing that doesn’t require a permit could be done by potential owners to reduce their monthly payment for example. Offer lease to own options as well. If towns did not have enough money to buy up these properties, civic minded individuals or organizations could improve the areas while making money at the same time, especially with tax break incentives.

3. Public plea for help. Just like with Katrina, this is a crisis that is affecting many people and causing many to become homeless. People are generous, but if they don’t know how to help they won’t help. Bush’s HOPE NOW program is a start but as with most things is bureaucratic and not especially efficient. A well run nonprofit headed by a retired CEO or former president/governor etc. could collect donations and offers for assistance and distribute them equitably. Churches and social groups like Kiwanis/Rotary/Elks etc would surely respond if they were approached directly to help those in their own communities.

Do you have thoughts about this? Feel free to comment and tell me my ideas or worthless, great, or somewhere in between. Also, please give this some thought and maybe add a few of your own.

what in the world is a must sale?

Hope Now not providing enough hope. Foreclosures way up, again.

Saturday, June 14th, 2008

Are you in trouble with your mortgage payments? You are not alone. I found an informative article over at Yahoo! Finance that provides more discouraging detail about the foreclosure crisis that is facing this country and has not abated yet.

Of note - 1 in every 483 homeowners across the country have received some sort of foreclosure notice. There are basically three types of these notices - default notice (owners are very late on payments), auction sale notice, and bank repossession. About half of the current foreclosure proceedings will be taken care of via sale or payment by the owner, but many will be repossessed or sold at auction.

The hardest hit areas? 9 of the top 10 cities/towns are in California and Florida, with Nevada, Arizona, and Michigan also dealing with this severe problem. Why is this happening? Alan Zibel, the author of the article mentioned above, sums it up very well,

“The combination of weak housing sales, falling home values, tighter mortgage lending criteria and a slowing U.S. economy has left financially strapped homeowners with few options to avoid foreclosure. Many can’t find buyers or owe more than their home is worth and can’t get refinanced into an affordable loan.”

How can we solve this problem? Apparently not with President Bush’s Hope Now coalition. Critics say that this plan falls far short of helping with the problem. I will say that one of the major problems is that not enough consumers have reached out for help. If you are a struggling owner, feel free to visit this page to learn about some available resources.

look familiar?

The best deal ever? Buy in the San Diego area and get a free house!

Tuesday, June 3rd, 2008

Buy one get one free!Peter Viles, who writes a blog for the LA Times, has found a crazy deal that a homebuilder is currently offering. You can see from the ad that if you buy a home in one area (starting at $1.6 million by the way) you will receive a 2000 square foot row home in another area for free! The smaller homes are valued around $400,000 right now.

The company said they are just responding to market conditions and are trying to move inventory, and that interest has increased since they started this promotion, although no one has gone under agreement yet. They said there are many interested parties who are ‘in talks’ with them currently.

Is this a good idea or not? On one hand, it is similar to high end sellers offering a sports car, home theater system, and other goodies along with their home to tempt potential buyers. Additional items left as gifts do increase traffic and may sway potential buyers. On the other hand, the new owner will have to sell or rent out their free home if they don’t want to give it to a family member or friend, and there are many carrying costs associated with the gift as opposed to other common items like cars and HDTVs that have low to no costs like upkeep and real estate taxes.

Will this be a sign of a changing market in the new construction segment? Time will tell, and if this promotion works out other builders will be sure to consider it as a great way to attract publicity and potential buyers.

MAR news release home sales data March-April 2008 vs. March-April 2007

Tuesday, May 27th, 2008

Today, the MAR reported March-April changes. While month-to-month sales were up, the number of single-family homes sold in April was down 15.8 percent with median sales prices down 8.7 percent compared to last year. The number of condominiums sold in April was down 26.6 percent, with median sales prices flat.

MA Detached Single-family Home Sales and Median Selling Prices

April 2007 April 2008 % Change

3,328……… 2,803…. -15.8%

325,000…. 310,000…. -4.6%

MA Condominium Sales and Median Selling Prices

April 2007 April 2008 % Change

1.753…….. 1,286……. -8.7%

274,650…. 275,000….. .1%


For the same time period the North Shore showed a decrease of 9.4% in the number of single family homes sold in April with median sales prices down 4.6%. The number of condominium sales for the month was down 21.7 percent, with median sales down 9.1%

North Shore Detached Single-family Homes Sales and Median Selling Prices

April 2007 April 2008 % Change

234…………. 212……. -9.4%

358,500… 341,750…… -4.6%

North Shore Condominium Sales and Median Selling Prices

April 2007 April 2008 % Change

156………… 122……. -21.7%

259,588…. 235,750…. -9.1 %

Source: MLS Property Information Network

When will housing prices improve?

Tuesday, May 6th, 2008

Home sales are way down, that much we know. Sales closing in March of 2008 were down almost a third from the same time frame a year earlier. How come? Without knowing all the facts, one would first point to the struggling economy. Recession fears are all over the news right now. Is that the problem? No. Boston’s economy continues to improve, and although there have been some layoffs in the financial services industry, job growth in our area remains steady. Popular sectors still hiring and growing in the Boston area are high tech and biotech firms. In fact, the economy has grown 3% in the first quarter.

So what’s the deal? Unfortunately, it’s the credit crisis. Lenders are continuing to restrict their loans. They are having a harder time finding money to lend to buyers, and if you don’t have at least 5% saved to put towards a down payment, you will find it very hard to get a loan. I have spoken to quite a few potential buyers who are not able to get preapproved, and in most cases it is because they are looking to buy with little to no money down. Until lenders can access money more readily, this trend is bound to continue.

The majority of owners with homes on the market right now will be looking to turn around and buy again as soon as their current home sells, but with fewer qualified buyers looking at their home, time on the market will not go down until this credit crisis eases.

If you are a buyer with less than a 5% down payment, there are alternatives out there. FHA loans are becoming increasingly popular and may be a good alternative to traditional lenders and brokers. If you are thinking about entering this buyer’s market, ask for help in obtaining preapproval for a loan. Many good agents know about current loan standards, and we at Buyer’s Choice are knowledgeable in this area and can point you to available resources.


The subprime mess - some statistics

Saturday, April 5th, 2008

Current statistics of homeowners show four types. Those that borrowed at subprime make up 9% of owners. Those who borrowed at prime make up 50%. FHA/VA mortgagees make up 6%, while the remaining 35% of owners own their homes free and clear. So what, right? The flip side of this picture is more telling. Foreclosure statistics show that owners who were approved for subprime loans - they may have paid no money down, did not have income verified, or did not have a sufficient credit score to qualify for a normal, prime loan, among other reasons - comprise 53% of current foreclosures. Prime borrowers make up 33% of this category, while FHA/VA borrowers account for 14% of foreclosures at the moment. Take a minute to let this sink in - one tenth of all homeowners are subprime owners, but they make up more than half of all foreclosures.

The first subprime loans were made in 2000, and none have been made since August of 2007. Roughly 1/5 of all borrowers who have subprime loans are currently late (in default) on their mortgage payments, as opposed to approximately 3% of prime borrowers. The fact that there are no subprime loans being originated right now is a good start, but we will be feeling the effects of this crisis for years. I will examine in my next post who really should be blamed and will try to provide some ways we can fix this problem. For the record, we at Buyer’s Choice Realty encourage all our clients to meet with a lawyer and their lender so they may endeavor to understand the terms of their loan and verify that they can meet their payments.