Buyer’s Choice Realty blog

President Obama announced a plan today designed to help millions of homeowners around the country. While final details and rules & regulations will not be announced for two weeks, we learned some details today. The plan is scheduled to begin March 4.

Some homeowners will be able to refinance their existing mortgages, only on owner-occupied properties. There are several criteria they must meet. Owners must be current on their mortgage payments, must have a conforming loan (less than $417,000) that is owned or guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, and apparently must owe more than 80% of their home’s value. Currently, lenders are not likely to refinance loans for borrowers who have less than 20% equity in their home. A further caveat: the new mortgage and refinancing costs must be no more than 105% of the current value of the home. Obama’s administration predicts that this plan will help up to five million “responsible homeowners.”

This initiative also aims to bring mortgage payments down to no more than 31% of borrowers’ income. The goal for this portion of the plan is for lenders to reduce interest rates on loans to bring monthly payments down to 38% of income and the government will further subsidize lenders and servicers to bring the ratio to 31%.

Check out this article for more information on this hot-button issue.

How do you feel about this new plan? Will it help the sagging housing market? . More details will follow as the plan is rolled out on March 4.

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Now that the holidays are over and we are into a new year, let’s take a break and look back on 2008. Assisting us today will be Stefan Swanepoel, a noted author and speaker who has been right on with his prognostications regarding real estate and the direction the industry will take.

Mr. Swanepoel (aka ‘Mr. Internet’) has not released his full annual report for this past year but he did share some of the high points in a ‘Top Ten’ list. What impacted the industry in 2008?

1. Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 (The Bailout)
2. The Presidential Election
3. In Memory Of: Countrywide, IndyMac, Washington Mutual, Wachovia, etc.
4. Facing Foreclosure Frenzy
5. Home Prices Spiral Downward
6. NAR-DOJ IDX Settlement
7. Brokers Go Bust
8. Keeping It Short (Twitter)
9. ActiveRain Explodes Past 100,000 Members
10. NAR Celebrates 100 Years

There are quite a few conversation starters in this list, and 2008, a year filled with volatility, disappointment, more than a few bankruptcies large and small, is one for the history books. I’m sure more than one of you are glad to see 2009 although many challenges face the industry that will take time to work their way through.

To chat about any of these headlines or to figure out how they may affect your prospects for purchasing a home in eastern Massachusetts this year (i.e. How can I buy a foreclosure?), please do not hesitate to call me toll-free at 800.25.BUYER (252.8937 - ask for John) or email me. Home prices are low and heading lower, so don’t miss out on a great deal in 2009!

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), a component of the Federal Reserve, announced today that they are lowering rates yet again. Without getting bogged down in the minutiae, this is great news for potential Massachusetts real estate buyers.

Why? Property values continue to fall in Massachusetts as a whole as well as the Boston area, but it is very possible, and indeed likely, that Boston area real estate market values will reach a bottom over the course of the next year.

How will this happen? With the help of today’s FOMC decision, key interest rates will soon reach their lowest levels on record. The cost of capital will be almost nil, and as a result banks will undoubtedly lower mortgage interest rates. Lower rates mean that more folks that are undecided whether to purchase a home will lean towards buying.

Think how much money you could ’save’ by paying 4.5% over 30 years versus paying 5%. This thought, combined with the ever-volatile equity and bond markets, means that real estate will be your best investment (and most stable).

To learn how buying real estate in Massachusetts will be great for your investment portfolio, feel free to contact me at 1.800.25.BUYER (ask for John) or email me

My main man Hank Paulson, head of the HPHF, has changed his mind about spending some of the $700 billion that he hopes to soon access. As of today, Paulson has roughly $60 billion left of the initial $350 billion which has been spent buying preferred shares of banks and insurer AIG.

Remember the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP)? The initial plan was to buy illiquid/mis-priced mortgage securities in order to get them off the balance sheets of huge companies in order to stabilize the market/economic system. The Treasury is the only entity that could afford to hold them for a couple years in hopes that the housing market would level out and the price of these securities could return to normal/par. Well, that is not going to happen.

Hank announced today that he wants to go in a different direction. Read all about it. My favorite part of this Bloomberg article is as follows,

“Paulson’s remarks are an acknowledgment that the centerpiece of the $700 billion bailout request to lawmakers was ill-conceived.”

Anyway, Hammerin’ Hank now plans to throw money at consumer lenders so that Joe Q. Public can get a car loan, credit card, or student loan more easily. How will that happen? There is plenty of illiquidity in the consumer lending sector, and adding billions of dollars to that sector will ease pressures. Well, maybe.

So much for helping the housing market. Unfortunately, Paulson essentially has carte blanche regarding how he wishes to spend TARP money, and is not even required to announce plans for spending tax dollars.

The motto of this bailout and associated plan(s) of action? Ready, Fire, Aim…

Finally! Some tough questions for the CEOs of the big three: Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s, and Fitch, the credit rating agencies that many feel are ultimately responsible for the sub-prime crisis and ensuing meltdown on Wall Street. For a little background, see my previous post questioning who is to blame for the sub-prime crisis.

As Jeff Macke says of these agencies on CNBC, “they should be taken out and annihilated…they are bringing economy around the globe down”.

Simply stated, the ratings agencies did not do their job. They are the symbols of trust and credibility to a giant industry that spans the globe, and they have failed. When will someone be punished for this amazing lack of common sense? Not everyone that works for one of these companies is to blame, but the fact remains that the companies made money by bestowing AAA ratings on suspect mortgage-backed-securities (MBS). For an example of how ridiculous this behavior became, check out this article.
Looking for a scapegoat to blame for your declining retirement savings? Here are three:

Raymond McDaniel, Moody’s CEO

Stephen Joynt, Fitch CEO

Deven Sharma, Standard & Poor’s President

It appears our economy is in a bit of a spot right now. No kidding, right? We learned over the past few days that our U.S. banking system has effectively been nationalized. How did this happen? Hammerin’ Hank, of course.

Paulson conspired worked with his Wall Street buddies, the Federal Reserve, and the FDIC before deciding how to use the first $250 billion that we recently invested into the HPHF.

What do you mean, ‘nationalized’? The always insightful folks at the Wall Street Journal wrote an informative blog post describing what actually happened early this week. Basically, Hank bought a bunch of super senior preferred shares from many of the country’s largest ‘banks’. Goldman Sachs, a bank? Apparently it is becoming one. A few of these firms got $25 billion each, and a few got $10 billion. JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citi group, Bank of America, you get the drift. These preferred shares mean that the HPHF owns up to 28% (in the case of Morgan Stanley) of the shareholder equity in each of these companies.

HPHF stands to make out pretty well. They will be paid 5% per year for the next five years on their investment in the form of quarterly dividends. The government gets its share before any other preferred or common shareholders do. After the initial five-year period, they will make 9%.

Hank himself terms this capital injection a ‘temporary investment’ in order to restore confidence in our banking system and encourage private equity to reinvest in these companies.

What effect does this bank bailout have on real estate/the housing market? It is HPHF’s hope that banks will now send that new money through the system by writing new loans and providing liquidity to the credit markets. Will more folks be able to qualify for a loan? Probably not, but here’s hoping. Keep an eye on the LIBOR, which has dropped almost 30 basis points over the past few days, and is a solid indicator of where mortgage rates are going.